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policy, which is hands down much more popular than any recent president in time, that foreign policy is not being effective and the president has a clear advantage in the campaign on this issue. >> sw joel ruben thank you for your time. thank you. >> the supreme court begins a new term today and it tops our look at stories around the news nation. the nation's highest court is taking on the high profile issues among them affirmative action in school admissions process, the voting rights act of 1965 and federal recognition of same-sex marriage. next week the supreme court is expected to hear arguments on the affirmative action case which is based on a texas student's claim that she was denied admission to the university of texas because she's white. and police in tennessee are searching for two missing children, a 9-year-old and her 7-year-old brother. both children mysteriously vanished after their grandparents home was burned to the ground south of nashville last sunday. they were originally presumed dead in the fire. police issued an amber alert. no leads. >>> and our "news nation"
policy, which is hands down much more popular than any recent president in time, that foreign policy is not being effective and the president has a clear advantage in the campaign on this issue. >> sw joel ruben thank you for your time. thank you. >> the supreme court begins a new term today and it tops our look at stories around the news nation. the nation's highest court is taking on the high profile issues among them affirmative action in school admissions process, the voting...
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>> foreign policy. if you said a couple years ago i'd sit here saying the democratic candidate's strong suit is foreign policy, that would take me by surprise. >> the first debate is domestic policy. >> you're absolutely right. i would stick with the jobs numbers and talk about how we're not where we want to be relatively to 100 thousand plus being gained per month but it's better than an 800,000 job loss. people need to be reminded of the numbers. >> and romney's weapons? >> romney's weapon is still that executive card. bain and all, he has to say i've gotten it done in business. i know the liabilities attached to the profile, tamron, but that's the bed he chose and he has to have a private sector-like fix for the economy. >> no time limits on answers, moderator's discretion, domestic policy, at least 90 minutes devoted to the economy. we're going to talk about a new nbc news/"wall street journal" poll that looks at this debate. do you buy what chris christie said yesterday, this is a game-changer come
>> foreign policy. if you said a couple years ago i'd sit here saying the democratic candidate's strong suit is foreign policy, that would take me by surprise. >> the first debate is domestic policy. >> you're absolutely right. i would stick with the jobs numbers and talk about how we're not where we want to be relatively to 100 thousand plus being gained per month but it's better than an 800,000 job loss. people need to be reminded of the numbers. >> and romney's...
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she did not have foreign policy experience. she said that made the difference with joe biden was born policy and she agreed it was essential. but now she is a cabinet secretary and knows where that will take her? >> the third is senator made the castle on. >> and was four several reasons. the first woman elected to the senate in her own right. there was an article of the women in congress over his dead body. there are still quite a few but margaret chase smith she followed her husband and took it over. she was the first who did not follow a spouse it was a high leave visible race even the london newspaper commented the day after the election. one woman in the senate. she got a lot of attention that two years later she was in a temporary chair at the national convention people talk to your as a national force. she had a lot going for her and if you remember nancy castlebaum the perfect example the way they woman politician should be. very forceful but fnn at the same time. one day they were not giving her the answer she wanted.
she did not have foreign policy experience. she said that made the difference with joe biden was born policy and she agreed it was essential. but now she is a cabinet secretary and knows where that will take her? >> the third is senator made the castle on. >> and was four several reasons. the first woman elected to the senate in her own right. there was an article of the women in congress over his dead body. there are still quite a few but margaret chase smith she followed her...
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. >> paul: still ahead as foreign policy emerges as central theme, president obama is pushing a new narrative that mitt romney will likely get us into a war. >> announcer: this is the day. the day that we say to the world of identity thieves "enough." we're lifelock, and we believe you have the right to live free from the fear of identity theft. our pledge to you? as long as there are identity thieves, we'll be there. we're lifelock. and we offer the most comprehensive identity theft protection ever created. lifelock: relentlessly protecting your identity. call 1-800-lifelock or go to lifelock.com today. ahh, now that's a clean mouth. i wish i could keep it this way. [ dr. rahmany ] you see, even after a dental cleaning... plaque quickly starts to grow back. but new crest pro-health clinical plaque control toothpaste can help. it not only reduces plaque... it's also clinically proven... to help keep plaque from coming back. plus, it works in these other areas dentists check most. ♪ new crest pro-health clinical plaque control toothpaste. life opens up when you do. for extra plaque protectio
. >> paul: still ahead as foreign policy emerges as central theme, president obama is pushing a new narrative that mitt romney will likely get us into a war. >> announcer: this is the day. the day that we say to the world of identity thieves "enough." we're lifelock, and we believe you have the right to live free from the fear of identity theft. our pledge to you? as long as there are identity thieves, we'll be there. we're lifelock. and we offer the most comprehensive...
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thomas pickering as you know, a very respected leader in foreign policy, is heading an investigation to figure this out. nothing is more important. you know, the middle east as we know is a very, very dangerous place. and we have to keep our guard up even as we are engaged in that region of the world in bringing many of these new countries into really the democratic sphere. this is the first time they've been able to elect their leaders. i was heartened as many were to watch the demonstrations in libya that followed that terrorist ait tack, with 30,000 in the street, you know, demanding that those militias and those, you know, terrorists and islamic militias are disbanded. that gives us, you know, great hope for, you know, what can happen in a place like libya. >> thanks so much, robert gibbs, see you in denver, be there tomorrow. >> thanks, andre ya. >> up next, the testy senate debate in massachusetts. and still ahead, mitt romney's debate strategy. we'll talk to his top adviser kevin madden. join us in denver at the site of the first presidential debate. among our guests obama dep
thomas pickering as you know, a very respected leader in foreign policy, is heading an investigation to figure this out. nothing is more important. you know, the middle east as we know is a very, very dangerous place. and we have to keep our guard up even as we are engaged in that region of the world in bringing many of these new countries into really the democratic sphere. this is the first time they've been able to elect their leaders. i was heartened as many were to watch the demonstrations...
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president talks foreign policy on "60 minutes". >> there will be bump orders the road. >> jon: media missed that and the gals on the view. >> i'm supposed to be eye candy. >> did the press pass on this to. >> he takes center stage at the u.n. >> i expect people will call me awful things every day. >> jon: how did the media treat his message? how did the news media react to
president talks foreign policy on "60 minutes". >> there will be bump orders the road. >> jon: media missed that and the gals on the view. >> i'm supposed to be eye candy. >> did the press pass on this to. >> he takes center stage at the u.n. >> i expect people will call me awful things every day. >> jon: how did the media treat his message? how did the news media react to
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. >> paul: still ahead as foreign policy emerges as central theme, president obama is pushing a new narrative that mitt romney will likely get us into a war. does your phone give you all day battery life ? droid does. and does it launch apps by voice while learning your voice ? launch cab4me. droid does. keep left at the fork. does it do turn-by-turn navigation ? droid does. with verizon, america's largest 4g lte network, and motorola, droid does. get $100 off select motorola 4g lte smartphones like the droid razr. when the doctor told me that i could smoke for the first week... i'm like...yeah, ok... little did i know that one week later i wasn't smoking. [ male announcer ] along with support, chantix is proven to help people quit smoking. it reduces the urge to smoke. some people had changes in behavior, thinking or mood, hostility, agitation, depressed mood and suicidal thoughts or actions while taking or after stopping chantix. if you notice any of these stop taking chantix and call your doctor right away. tell your doctor about any history of depression or other mental health problems, w
. >> paul: still ahead as foreign policy emerges as central theme, president obama is pushing a new narrative that mitt romney will likely get us into a war. does your phone give you all day battery life ? droid does. and does it launch apps by voice while learning your voice ? launch cab4me. droid does. keep left at the fork. does it do turn-by-turn navigation ? droid does. with verizon, america's largest 4g lte network, and motorola, droid does. get $100 off select motorola 4g lte...
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on foreign policy, i think it should be an issue of what we just discussed. but i think it will be laid in the context of the president not only having stopped the war in iraq, gone and violated pakistani air space, which wasn't done before, and getting al qaeda in pakistan, that's bin laden and putting it in the context of 12 embassies attacked in the 8 years of the bush administration and losing a u.s. diplomat in pakistan and our president recognizing that we have to shift our focus, not just in the global war on terror, but to dhiena. i think this may take a bit of luster off, but overall, i think it's quite a good step that he has taken for america, securing our peace and prosperity. >> eric: that's the final word. >> thank you for having me. >> eric: thank you both. >> jamie: major development in the showdown over iran's nuclear program. the economic sanctions are stinging hard with the israeli finance minister, saying iran's economy is paying a heavy price for nuclear activity, edging on collapse, he said. so diplomacy is taking center stage at the u.n
on foreign policy, i think it should be an issue of what we just discussed. but i think it will be laid in the context of the president not only having stopped the war in iraq, gone and violated pakistani air space, which wasn't done before, and getting al qaeda in pakistan, that's bin laden and putting it in the context of 12 embassies attacked in the 8 years of the bush administration and losing a u.s. diplomat in pakistan and our president recognizing that we have to shift our focus, not...
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here's what he said slamming the president on foreign policy. by failing to maintain the elements of our influence and stepping away from our alleys, president obama has heightened the prospect of conflict and instability. he does not understand an american policy that lacks resolve can provoke aggression. the arab spring presented an opportunity to help move millions of people from oppression to freedom, but it also presented grave risks. we needed a strategy for success, but the president offered none. and now he seeks to down play the significance of the calamities of the past few weeks. steve, does he have a point? >> no. what's the old saying? that dog won't hunt. i don't think you can criticize barack obama on his foreign policy achievements. it's a tough world out there. it's complicated. things don't always happen the way we want them to, but they have done a terrific job of handling very difficult situations. they killed osama bin laden. i think they have a record to stand on that the president can proudly go to the debates and argue wi
here's what he said slamming the president on foreign policy. by failing to maintain the elements of our influence and stepping away from our alleys, president obama has heightened the prospect of conflict and instability. he does not understand an american policy that lacks resolve can provoke aggression. the arab spring presented an opportunity to help move millions of people from oppression to freedom, but it also presented grave risks. we needed a strategy for success, but the president...
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foreign policy is the third debate. >> it was a tongue-in-cheek remark. but the facial expressions were very similar. >> you might want to relax a bit, shirley. the doctor's been doing this program for years. he knows i give everybody jabs. [chuckles] >> but what about your state, linda? maine is thought to be a lock for president obama's hope and change mantra. >> i'll try not to be a blueter. blooter. >> very much appreciate all the nice letters about "killing kennedy." finally, the factor tip of the day. as you may know, we give a lot of money to charity here. so does jon stewart. here's something you might not know. after the rumble tomorrow night in washington, stewart will be visiting some of the wounded troops. he doesn't say much about it. but i thought i would tell you. so here's the tip of the day, even if you don't want to watch the rumble, sign up for it. because we are going to give a lot of money to a lot of people who really need it, including the families of our wounded warriors. tip of the day. that's it for us tonight. please, check out
foreign policy is the third debate. >> it was a tongue-in-cheek remark. but the facial expressions were very similar. >> you might want to relax a bit, shirley. the doctor's been doing this program for years. he knows i give everybody jabs. [chuckles] >> but what about your state, linda? maine is thought to be a lock for president obama's hope and change mantra. >> i'll try not to be a blueter. blooter. >> very much appreciate all the nice letters about...
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tomorrow night is focusing on domestic policy. the 22nd will be a foreign policy debate. all of the debates will be like here on c-span. our coverage more night starting at 7:00 a.m. eastern. >> our camera is taking to inside the center at the university of denver, at the site of the first presidential debate tomorrow night. we mentioned that the pennsylvania judge has blocked the implementation of that state voter identification law. talking points memo is a tweet tinged that of -- tweeting that [inaudible] what you're seeing here is also the media area inside. this is not where the debate will be held. this is just a milly dowler area of all the reporters and journalists -- this is just the media area of all the reporters and journalists. this is the area that is known as the spent area. after the debates, you will see the advocates from each side come out and speak to television. the president and mitt romney are spending the day preparing for tomorrow night's debate. the vice presidential candidates are on the campaign trail. paul ryan is in ohio with three stops toda
tomorrow night is focusing on domestic policy. the 22nd will be a foreign policy debate. all of the debates will be like here on c-span. our coverage more night starting at 7:00 a.m. eastern. >> our camera is taking to inside the center at the university of denver, at the site of the first presidential debate tomorrow night. we mentioned that the pennsylvania judge has blocked the implementation of that state voter identification law. talking points memo is a tweet tinged that of --...
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foreign policy in trouble? joining us from boston, fox news military analyst, colonel david hunt and ralph peters. colonel peters, we in trouble foreign policy wise? >> the obama administration has never had a foreign policy. bill, he's only had this assortment of confused, naive initiatives poisoned by ideology, deformed by politic, driven by politics, and the only thing these initiatives in the foreign affairs realm have had in common has been their failure. if you look from benghazi to beijing, in this afro-asian realm of crisis, there is not one troubled country, not one, not russia, not china, certainly not iran, afghanistan, pakistan, certainly not israel, not one country in which relations are healthier or more constructive than under george w. bush, and that was a pretty low standard. >> bill: what do you say, colonel hunt? >> i think the specificity of the policy when you look at libya in which we wanted a lower american profile with the weakest profile we've had security since 1979 first ambassador we
foreign policy in trouble? joining us from boston, fox news military analyst, colonel david hunt and ralph peters. colonel peters, we in trouble foreign policy wise? >> the obama administration has never had a foreign policy. bill, he's only had this assortment of confused, naive initiatives poisoned by ideology, deformed by politic, driven by politics, and the only thing these initiatives in the foreign affairs realm have had in common has been their failure. if you look from benghazi to...
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the campaign says romney will give a major foreign policy speech this week. romney is taking his message to the air waves. >> i think they want to do their best to keep the people of america from understanding exactly what happened. we expect candor, we expect transparency, particularly to terrorism. >> it's hard to understand how mitt romney thinks this strategy is going to work. romney was hammered for his initial response to the attack in the middle east. he blamed the president for sympathizing with protesters. romney is a 14-point disadvantage for terrorist issues. romney can't pick a strategy and stick with it. the campaign, they used to be all about jobs. the romney slogan was obama isn't working. but then all of a sudden, the campaign was about obamacare and the slogan was "repeal and replace." that didn't work so romney moved on to "we did build that." republicans spent a night at their own convention talking about the new strategy, but that didn't work either. so recently they went with "are you better off." but now they are abandoning it for nation
the campaign says romney will give a major foreign policy speech this week. romney is taking his message to the air waves. >> i think they want to do their best to keep the people of america from understanding exactly what happened. we expect candor, we expect transparency, particularly to terrorism. >> it's hard to understand how mitt romney thinks this strategy is going to work. romney was hammered for his initial response to the attack in the middle east. he blamed the president...
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can any of these foreign policy questions and whether or not the administration bungled the response after the attacks, the horrible tragedy in benghazi, or the israeli relationship and whether mitt romney is correct that the administration has thrown israel under the bus, can any of these foreign policy questions come into it or does this have to be under the format strictly domestic policy. >> i think only if chip herrer asks the question. if romney were to launch an attack on libya or launch an attack on the israeli question, he would look like he was trying to score political points in a debate where he's supposed to be talking about the economy. one of the rules i have for the debates you don't fight with the moderator and you don't invade the other person's space. >> a violation of the newt gingrich rule which was to completely go after maria bartiromo and john harwood at the cnbc debate in michigan and make -- make them the target. >> he was looking for right wing base voters who hate the media. i don't think that's the situation here. when you fight with the moderator and som
can any of these foreign policy questions and whether or not the administration bungled the response after the attacks, the horrible tragedy in benghazi, or the israeli relationship and whether mitt romney is correct that the administration has thrown israel under the bus, can any of these foreign policy questions come into it or does this have to be under the format strictly domestic policy. >> i think only if chip herrer asks the question. if romney were to launch an attack on libya or...
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the president on foreign policy with specific criticisms of the way in which the administration handled the attack on the u.s. consulate in benghazi, libya, meant to signal romney will continue to attack the president on the economy, and jobs, but, also on foreign policy and all of the issues, of being commander-in-chief. in the 2012 campaign. >> arthel: thank you very much, a big crowd waiting for mitt romney and the president had no public events today but his campaign says that it has noted stopped him from shattering a major record. carl mentioned this earlier. september fund-raising ended at $181 million. topping his previous record by nearly $70 million. it's the biggest single month haul he has had during this is re-election bid and the president said more than 1.8 million people donated last month. republicans have yet to report their september totals. >> rick: major defense budget cuts are set to automatically kick in at the end of the year and time is running out for congress to stop it from happening and it could trigger job losses as well. why is this white house advising de
the president on foreign policy with specific criticisms of the way in which the administration handled the attack on the u.s. consulate in benghazi, libya, meant to signal romney will continue to attack the president on the economy, and jobs, but, also on foreign policy and all of the issues, of being commander-in-chief. in the 2012 campaign. >> arthel: thank you very much, a big crowd waiting for mitt romney and the president had no public events today but his campaign says that it has...
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and the floor policy -- there was a spike and mitt romney went abroad -- the foreign policy, there was a spike when mitt romney went abroad. i believe aj invited us here and our job is to keep everyone here on the panel on this. >> think you're a very interesting. as our panelists make their presentation, maybe it least two items i thought would be interested to adjust -- the very interesting article and book out now by sasha eisenberg about the fact that the press cannot keep up with political consultants and social that parking experts. reporters basically are way behind the curve in this campaign. we think that is an interesting topic to take a look at. as well as the fact that in a wave of reporters, my impression is it looks like both candidates have succeeded for the most part in talking over the press, especially the traveling press, and making them almost irrelevant to the campaign. let us start off with amy davidson. >> can everybody hear me? i will start by addressing what he does talk about a little bit. even in the title of the panel, is this any way to cover a campaign? th
and the floor policy -- there was a spike and mitt romney went abroad -- the foreign policy, there was a spike when mitt romney went abroad. i believe aj invited us here and our job is to keep everyone here on the panel on this. >> think you're a very interesting. as our panelists make their presentation, maybe it least two items i thought would be interested to adjust -- the very interesting article and book out now by sasha eisenberg about the fact that the press cannot keep up with...
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romney calls obama's foreign policy dangerous. romney's debate plan, clearly and concisely explain how he can fix the economy. >> i expect to be able to describe that in a way people will understand, and if they do, i get elected. >> reporter: his running mate, paul ryan, is already preparing for his own debate a week away. >> i really believe in the policies that we're providing, we're pursuing. and at the end of the day, i'm just going to go in there and be me. >> reporter: and if you can't control what actually happens in the debate, you certainly control what happens afterwards. the spin already in the planning. ryan's going to be with romney in virginia. the president is staying in colorado for a rally there. veronica? >> tracie, we appreciate it. thank you. >>> nato forces in afghanistan say three international service members and their translator were killed in a suicide bombing in the eastern part of the country this morning. this as the war in afghanistan reached a grim milestone sunday with a death of the 2,000th u.s. se
romney calls obama's foreign policy dangerous. romney's debate plan, clearly and concisely explain how he can fix the economy. >> i expect to be able to describe that in a way people will understand, and if they do, i get elected. >> reporter: his running mate, paul ryan, is already preparing for his own debate a week away. >> i really believe in the policies that we're providing, we're pursuing. and at the end of the day, i'm just going to go in there and be me. >>...
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tough on foreign policy. even his hairline is receding. >> that's good. >> that's good. >> yeah, no. it's amazing to me when you look at these and you see this, it can be funnier not in presidential debates, senate races, house races, where they show up and try too hard and often you find that's their undoing. >> i was going to say, i think we have adequately demonstrated that maybe the zinger strategy not going to work. >> not good. >> not presidential. >> we'll just say, wow, he was surprisingly sober and presidential. >> at least now we'll all be looking for the zingers during the debate. >> best zingers don't appear as though they are zingers written and canned months ago. there you go again. they seem very smooth. >> reagan in '84 had that line they work eed on when he blanke out in the first debate. they said you're 73 years old, are you really up to the job. he said i do not think age should be an issue in this campaign. i will not exploit for political purposes my opponent's youth and inexperience. >>
tough on foreign policy. even his hairline is receding. >> that's good. >> that's good. >> yeah, no. it's amazing to me when you look at these and you see this, it can be funnier not in presidential debates, senate races, house races, where they show up and try too hard and often you find that's their undoing. >> i was going to say, i think we have adequately demonstrated that maybe the zinger strategy not going to work. >> not good. >> not presidential....
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romney on foreign policy and the wars. and he is -- he's right there when he says that we don't know what mr. romney would do if he became president. mr. romney has said recently and vaguely that he supports what president obama is doing in afghanistan in terms of there being a timeline for leaving but he has also said he was against a timeline for leaving in the past. so really who knows? he's not even trying. the closest we've gotten to any competing cogent republican position on the war is probably what we got from senator john mccain at the republican convention when he said that the afghanistan war just shouldn't end. he also thinks that the iraq war shouldn't have ended. so i'm not sure that it's a politically viable position. even if it is an internally cogent one from the senator. for this year's nominee, it's apparently just not going to happen. not unless he starts it now. 40 days out, mitt romney did get as close as he gets to talking about the issue today. in that he spoke before a group of veterans and talked
romney on foreign policy and the wars. and he is -- he's right there when he says that we don't know what mr. romney would do if he became president. mr. romney has said recently and vaguely that he supports what president obama is doing in afghanistan in terms of there being a timeline for leaving but he has also said he was against a timeline for leaving in the past. so really who knows? he's not even trying. the closest we've gotten to any competing cogent republican position on the war is...
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policy as it relates to the arab spring. i think if the governor wants to, he can use this format, which is open ended on the economy, talk about the economy, but also about american strength and how that can or will be affected in the future economically. so i wouldn't be surprised at all if what you saw in that op-ed that governor romney wrote for the "wall street journal" doesn't become part of a response to a larnler conversation about not just economics in america, but the economic projection, the values projection and foreign policy pro jex. >> let me ask you about the deb krzyzewskied. it's going to be six segments. the moderator has some ability to let it go and bring the conversation more broadly. breathe more than we've seen in the past. does that favor one person or the other? >> no, i don't think so. i think as you know, who goes first was determined by coin flip and there's a slight advantage of having your opponent go first. in the opening, romney won the coin toss because president obama goes first and that me
policy as it relates to the arab spring. i think if the governor wants to, he can use this format, which is open ended on the economy, talk about the economy, but also about american strength and how that can or will be affected in the future economically. so i wouldn't be surprised at all if what you saw in that op-ed that governor romney wrote for the "wall street journal" doesn't become part of a response to a larnler conversation about not just economics in america, but the...
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look what he's doing with foreign policy. >> gretchen: yesterday. paul ryan from wisconsin was asked about president obama's foreign policy and this is what he had to say. >> they are sponse was slow and confused and inconsistent and part of a bigger picture of the fact that the obama foreign policy is unraveling before our eyes . >> steve: what is happening right now in the middle east is the ugly fruits of the bum pumforeign policy. 20,000 killed and iran on the brink of having a atom bomb and russia thumb their nose . >> eric: the interview last night with karzai. terrorist attacks have increased maybe because of a preplanned exit the attitude he had. he's mad at the u.s. . we have lost 2000 lives. a trillion dollars, and they are mad. seriously? and then insider atax've -- attacks and the and al-qaida are working together to infiltrate the afghany police to attack us inside. >> gretchen: there were another two deaths over the weekend. they are not even going on patrol because the danger is too high. there is a lot of chaos. even though you liste
look what he's doing with foreign policy. >> gretchen: yesterday. paul ryan from wisconsin was asked about president obama's foreign policy and this is what he had to say. >> they are sponse was slow and confused and inconsistent and part of a bigger picture of the fact that the obama foreign policy is unraveling before our eyes . >> steve: what is happening right now in the middle east is the ugly fruits of the bum pumforeign policy. 20,000 killed and iran on the brink of...
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the vice presidential debate, the town hall presidential debate and then the debate on foreign policy. >> i think we throw out the myth that somehow or other only the first debates matter. i think the other debates will have big audiences. i'm through with the expectations game. i think vice president biden will do very well next week. i think the president will bring his best game to these next two debates. this guy is a fourth quarter player. we saw it on health care and in the 2008 primaries. when the going to gets tough, when the pressure is on, he really steps up to it. i think barack obama whether do very well in these next two debates and i think as voters think about this,do very well in these next two debates and i think as voters think about this, we all play it as a game. if you were an average person sitting at home last night, you said, wait a minute, i suspect that guy romney's going to increase my taxes. wait a minute, i'm a senior. it will cost me $600 more for prescription drugs. i think those are the things that are important to voters and that's why i think the pres
the vice presidential debate, the town hall presidential debate and then the debate on foreign policy. >> i think we throw out the myth that somehow or other only the first debates matter. i think the other debates will have big audiences. i'm through with the expectations game. i think vice president biden will do very well next week. i think the president will bring his best game to these next two debates. this guy is a fourth quarter player. we saw it on health care and in the 2008...
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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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for example you have economic crises and foreign policy crises. if you play poker, you're used to playing your hand well. you catch a lucky card or you play bad and catch the card of your life. you used to think about improbability. you are calmer when you watch the he ebb and flow of polls an political news. >> you talk about weather forecasting has improved over the years, and the glitch that sort of caused the ibm computer to beat gary in the 1997 chess game. what are the worst at predicting? what do we get wrong more than anything else? >> in general the field of economic prediction is a pretty bad example. for example, in december of 2007, most people in the "wall street journal's" forecasting panel, 45 distinguished economists said we would not go into a recession over the next year. in fact, it turned out we were already in recession by december 2007. it was later revealed through the data. when we're in a recession we don't know it half the time and can't predict the macro economy more than six months in advance. you had all kinds of probl
for example you have economic crises and foreign policy crises. if you play poker, you're used to playing your hand well. you catch a lucky card or you play bad and catch the card of your life. you used to think about improbability. you are calmer when you watch the he ebb and flow of polls an political news. >> you talk about weather forecasting has improved over the years, and the glitch that sort of caused the ibm computer to beat gary in the 1997 chess game. what are the worst at...